Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 24.119523 27.388987 30.960962 35.156749 39.955126 45.276925 51.634533
2025-01-19 18.739377 23.047271 28.160295 34.691922 42.837023 52.689172 65.555579
2025-01-26 15.941879 20.924058 27.251936 35.914696 47.523007 62.621712 83.881175
2025-02-02 14.139065 19.601249 26.946960 37.612229 52.810507 73.853218 105.480291
2025-02-09 12.428312 18.053907 25.999112 38.134507 56.374246 83.040790 125.481633
2025-02-16 10.751816 16.265332 24.391319 37.365554 57.801151 89.149480 141.644446
2025-02-23 9.445888 14.820014 23.050279 36.728512 59.208829 95.238995 158.453160
2025-03-02 8.411418 13.643474 21.942361 36.252137 60.711041 101.536159 176.338118
2025-03-09 7.638038 12.778996 21.204861 36.243676 62.914093 109.168432 197.475332
2025-03-16 6.957396 11.980271 20.467394 36.111789 64.831619 116.466925 218.950855
2025-03-23 6.609214 11.705410 20.577154 37.456476 69.516393 129.245889 252.454218
2025-03-30 6.143087 11.165044 20.151141 37.755689 72.265280 138.723329 280.836489
2025-04-06 5.530910 10.309422 19.092651 36.800497 72.606624 143.850507 301.725524
2025-04-13 5.052482 9.652908 18.334043 36.336020 73.866349 150.988694 328.037535
2025-04-20 4.831959 9.467019 18.451739 37.629198 78.886406 166.535244 375.248761
2025-04-27 4.681084 9.400236 18.792103 39.415978 85.181126 185.659245 433.775573
2025-05-04 4.416116 9.071702 18.564902 39.966125 88.840932 199.482103 482.124097
2025-05-11 4.051186 8.495823 17.761883 39.158833 89.328420 206.141951 514.039416
2025-05-18 3.735976 7.992800 17.059568 38.489802 90.041259 213.410474 548.695861
2025-05-25 3.465608 7.559469 16.462678 37.989446 91.084988 221.608240 587.164985
2025-06-01 3.257921 7.244145 16.094171 37.980589 93.325534 233.077047 636.450716
2025-06-08 3.059006 6.928567 15.692172 37.842055 95.220339 243.925003 685.909145
2025-06-15 2.980245 6.882890 15.909058 39.254698 101.298035 266.605090 773.549763